Contrary to the conventional narrative about European demographic
decline, a trio of researchers claims that increased prosperity is now
causing Old World birthrates to rise. But what are the statistics
behind the statistics?
By Selwyn Duke
Although there are still some kept awake by Soylent Green nightmares
of overpopulation, many recognize that the developed world has long
experienced a birth dearth. The pattern has been consistent: wherever
societies modernize and attain prosperity — be it Europe, North
America, Asia or elsewhere — a drop in birthrates to below replacement
level (2.1 children per couple) follows. (This doesn’t mean prosperity
necessarily causes demographic decline, only that there has in modern
times been a correlation between the two.)
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