By Selwyn Duke
Propelled by impressive debate performances, Mitt Romney has surged
in the polls. Gallup had the GOP nominee leading by as many as seven
points recently, and likely women voters, who once favored Barack Obama
by double digits, now lean toward the president by only one percent in
the swing states. Even more significantly, Romney has finally taken the
lead in the Real Clear Politics electoral-college estimate, 206 to 201. And it’s plain to me what all this means for November 6.
Barack Obama will likely win re-election.
As someone who thinks the president is the kind of man who lights up a
room when he leaves it, I assuredly take no pleasure in making this
prediction. My problem, however, is that I lost my rose-colored glasses a
long time ago. And viewed without them, it’s clear that the electoral
map won’t likely come up roses for Romney.
It’s not that I doubt the RCP estimate of 206 safe electoral votes
for the former governor. It’s that it’s hard to see where the 64
additional votes needed to reach 270 can come from. How can this be with
131 up for grabs?
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