376550_blogBy Selwyn Duke

It doesn’t make me happy to say it, but I believe that
Barack Obama will win re-election. In fact, I predicted this more than two
weeks ago here.
Now I’ll provide more detail and give you my prediction for how the Electoral College
will break down.


Let’s start with the obvious. It goes almost
without saying that Obama and Mitt Romney will carry the states in which they’re
strong. They are as follows.

Obama:

Washington, Oregon, California, New Mexico, Illinois, Minnesota, New York, Vermont, Massachusetts, Maine, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland, Washington, DC, and Hawaii.

Total electoral votes: 201

Romney:

Arizona, Utah, Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia, and Indiana.

Total electoral votes: 191

Now we come to the 11 toss-up states. Here is how
I predict they will go.

Obama:

Wisconsin, 10; Michigan, 16; Ohio, 18; Pennsylvania, 20; Nevada, 6.

Total electoral votes: 70

Romney:

Colorado, 9; Iowa, 6; Florida, 29; North Carolina, 15; Virginia, 13; New Hampshire, 4.

Total electoral votes: 76

This would give Obama a narrow victory with 271 votes
(270 are needed to win), while Romney would fall 3 short at 267. 

As I’ve said in the past, I hope I’m wrong and all
the conservative pundits are right. But I have to call it like I see it.

Good luck to Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, and God
bless America. If my prediction is correct, we’ll need all the blessings we can
get.  

     Contact Selwyn Duke or follow him on Twitter

        © 2012 Selwyn Duke — All Rights Reserved

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5 responses to “My Prediction for the Election”

  1. Statusmonkey Avatar
    Statusmonkey

    Not sure I would give Iowa or New Hampshire to Mitt Romney… bottom line is that Romney must win either Ohio or (less plausibly) Pennsylvania. Still, neither one’s impossible – didn’t PA elect Pat Toomey just 2 years ago?

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  2. Yoyo Avatar
    Yoyo

    I’m sorry for dyed in the wool Christian dominationists but the rest of the world is happy not to be dealing with Bush number 3.

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  3. The Advocate Avatar
    The Advocate

    You were too “conservative” in your prediction (very unfortunately)!

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  4. John Avatar
    John

    What’s the point of you visiting this site besides trolling? I read some of your comments on different articles and all you do is make jabs at Christians. And you out yourself when you make a comment that deals “the rest of the world thinks” and your poor comparison of Romney to Bush.

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  5. John Avatar
    John

    But he was right in the end result. Your guy won, so grow up.

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