By Selwyn Duke

Liberal icon Daniel Patrick Moynihan once said, “You’re
entitled to your own opinions, but you’re not entitled to your own facts.” But
that was decades ago, and today more leftists than ever have graduated from
confusion to delusion and believe they’re entitled to their own fiction.

A good example is naturalist David Attenborough, who
recently complained that man is a plague upon our planet. He warns that our
burgeoning population will ensure that we consume the world’s resources like a
sun-occluding swarm of high-tech locusts. Writes The
Telegraph:

“We are a plague on the Earth. It’s
coming home to roost over the next 50 years or so. It’s not just climate
change; it’s sheer space, places to grow food for this enormous horde. Either
we limit our population growth or the natural world will do it for us, and the
natural world is doing it for us right now,” he [Attenborough] told the Radio
Times.

If brevity is the soul of not just wit but also delusion, we
have a winner here. Four sentences, four falsehoods/fallacies — a couple of
which are getting a bit stale. There is that old leftist Malthusian starvation saw
that seems to have more lives than a cat; there is the man-made idea of
man-made climate change; and there is what logically follows from these two
assumptions, that humans are a “plague” (well, some humans are, anyway). But
then there’s what is simply a falsehood: the notion that the world’s population
is exploding.

The truth is just the opposite: on the horizon is a
population implosion, a long
understood phenomenon explored superbly in the documentary
“Demographic Winter.” This may seem counter-intuitive, raised as we were on Soylent Green nightmares, but
“population bomb” scenarios are your silver pony-tailed grandfather’s alarmism.
And here are the facts:

• Fertility rates are below replacement level (2.1
  children per couple) in more than 70 nations worldwide.
• Europe’s population is shrinking rapidly, with an
  overall fertility rate of 1.38; in northern Italy and certain regions of Spain,
  the figure is less than 1.
• Sixty-five-year-olds now outnumber
  fourteen-year-olds in Europe, and while eighty percent of US homes included
  children one-hundred years ago, the figure has dropped to thirty-two percent
  today.
• Russia’s population is declining by the better
  part of 1,000,000 people per year, despite government efforts to encourage
  fecundity — such as paying citizens $9000 per child. “In 40 years, the world's
  largest country by area will have only 100 million citizens instead of the 142
  million it has today,” writes
  Der Spiegel.
• Fertility rates are below replacement level even
  in countries one wouldn’t expect, such as Muslim nations Tunisia, Qatar, Iran, Uzbekistan,
  Algeria, and Lebanon, just to name a handful. Mexico’s rate (2.27) is still
  above replacement level but has been declining precipitously during recent
  times and will continue to fall. And My
  Big Fat Greek Wedding is a big fat Greek myth; Greece is managing only 1.39
  children per woman. The lowest fertility rate in the world belongs to Singapore
  (.78).

Of course, the world’s population will continue to increase
for a time at a steadily decelerating rate, but this trend will reverse around
the middle of this century. Moreover, this is something professional demographers have long
known.

So why do mainstream media, academics, politicians, and various
luminaries not know it? Some do, of course, and simply lie. Like the activists
who understand that popular will to outlaw the AR-15 will evaporate if people
learn it’s not actually a machine gun, some population-control zealots realize
that their misanthropic agenda’s ranks will depopulate if people discover
demographic reality. Others, however, are like the feminists who still
complained in the 1990s that society’s alleged destruction of teen girls’
self-esteem was causing poor high-school performance, even though by that point
girls’ grades were higher than boys’. A day late and a few brain cells short, theirs
is an ignorance bred by an indifference to truth that robs one of all impetus
to search for it.

Nonetheless, it is striking that mainstream publications
such as The Telegraph can print such
rubbish and maintain even a shred of credibility. The only good news is that
liberal journalist types often have the lowest fertility rates of all.

For those who will be around in the future, however, demographic
decline will pose challenges. Demographer Phillip Longman — a liberal, mind you
— wrote about this in his book, The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birthrates
Threaten World Prosperity and What to Do About It; and famed economist Adam Smith once reminded us, “Depressions
are associated with decreasing population.” Japan, the poster old boy for
graying civilizations, is learning this firsthand.

Then there are the cultural implications. The people who
birthed Western civilization (those of European heritage) are struggling to
birth the next generation. So it’s hey, hey, ho, ho, the Westerners are gonna’
go — and take their culture to the grave with them.

All the while, our media are whistling past the empty
maternity ward, seemingly oblivious to the impending population implosion. And
your opinion may be that this demographic decline is a good thing; your opinion
may be that it is a bad thing. But there is something that is not opinion but
fact: it is a real thing. And facts don’t bend to fashions.

Contact Selwyn Duke, follow him on Twitter or log on to SelwynDuke.com       

        © 2013 Selwyn Duke — All Rights Reserved